Democrats claim the end goal of the 2020 Democratic primaries is to produce one who can defeat President Donald Trump, but based on the way the 2020 Democratic primaries are starting out all that’s being produced is a place for Democrats to go die in the November 2020 general election.
Democrats are voting in the 2020 Democratic primaries under 3 delusions:
1) That they are the majority political party in America
2) That the racial, religious and cultural demographic composition of the Democratic Party are the same demographics that make up all of America
3) That the voting results in the 2020 Democratic primaries are a reflection of how Independent leaning voters will vote in the November general election.
These 3 delusions appear to be leading Democrats to an even larger delusional conclusion, that whoever wins the 2020 Democratic primaries can defeat Donald Trump and be elected President. Nothing could be FURTHER FROM THE TRUTH!!!
Of the 23 candidates who started out competing in the 2020 Democratic primaries, 7, (Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar, Tom Steyer, Andrew Yang), remain viable enough to qualify for participation in the current debates held for the 2020 Democratic primaries, and an additional 2 new candidates, (Michael Bloomberg, Deval Patrick), have recently entered the race but have yet to qualify for admission to the debates. Of the 7 remaining candidates 4 have traded places with each other as the front runner in state wide polls, and until this week only one has consistently polled as the front runner in national polls. That one is Joe Biden.
All 7 of the original candidates and the 2 new ones are good, intelligent, and dedicated to the betterment of America, they each are very capable of doing the job of President of the United States. But realistically Joe Biden is the ONLY one of the 7 and possibly Michael Bloomberg of the 2 new ones, capable of winning a general election to take the job of President away from Donald Trump. Democrats held the first of their 2020 Democratic primaries last week in Iowa and the only Democratic candidate with a chance of defeating Donald Trump, Joe Biden, was voted 4th place by Democrats. Iowa Democrats voted 1st place to Pete Buttigieg and 2nd place to Bernie Sanders, both of whom are tied for the distinction of the Democrat least likely to defeat Donald Trump.
Last night the 2020 Democratic primaries results came in from New Hampshire with both Buttigieg and Sanders again being voted 1 stand 2nd with a flip of positioning. This time Sanders was voted 1st place and Buttigieg 2nd place. Further evidence that Democrats are on the 2020 Democratic primary road to general election death by electing people who simply CANNOT defeat Donald Trump in a general election.
The reasons why 6 of the 7 and 1 of the 2 new candidates can’t beat President Trump in the November general election are as follows:
Bernie Sanders- Sanders by his own admission and self-labeling is a Socialist, philosophically he is out of touch with general election voters who don’t believe in Medicare-For-All government program that puts the government in charge of their healthcare, nor do they believe that government should provide free college to American citizens.
Elizabeth Warren- Unfortunately Warren misfired on what the core of her campaign should have been. Instead of focusing on Medicare-For-All and taxing billionaires she should have focused on her true strength, her creation of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) which makes sure banks, lenders, and other financial companies treat American consumers fairly. It has returned 11.9 billion dollars in refunds and debt relief to consumers from financial institutions who engaged in unfair practices. The Bureau’s priorities are mortgages, credit cards, and student loans, the things that impact the everyday lives of American citizens.
It’s the one government agency whose sole agenda is consumer protection. It’s not to protect or help the bottom line of business, but to help and protect the bottom line of the consumer. Had this been Warren’s focus she would have left the entire Democratic field of candidates in a field of dust, and followed Hillary Clinton as the 2nd woman to win the Democratic nomination for President. Sadly for her she did not and now has no chance of winning a general election even if she won the 2020 Democratic primaries.
Amy Klobuchar- Klobuchar has served over 10 years as a U.S. Senator from the state of Minnesota. Unlike Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren Klobuchar has developed no brand of what she has accomplished to help anyone or anything. In Sander’s case, it’s the brand of government intervention to equalize the standard of living for those in need. In Warren’s case, it’s the brand of protecting the little person against big corporate power. Klobuchar’s claim to fame is that she got elected in a red state in the red part of the country, has co-sponsored legislation with Republicans and won every race she has been in since 4th grade.
In other words, she mastered the basic requirement that any decent politician is expected to know how to do, to build coalitions and reach compromise. Except most successful politicians are able to build on those coalitions and compromises to accomplish at least one big noteworthy thing. Klobuchar has not hence no brand. Since she has no brand when she announced her run for President, most in America didn’t know who she was even though she has been elected 3 times to the U.S. Senate. She has no chance to defeat the well-known brand of Donald Trump in a general election.
Tom Steyer- Steyer is admired for being able to accomplish something most people are not, he has built great wealth. He is a bona-fide businessman who built a billion dollar business. Unfortunately for Steyer, it’s a nontraditional business as opposed to a business like Donald Trump or Mike Bloomberg built. Steyer’s business was investing other people’s money for a fee, a very legitimate business that made him a billionaire but it denied him the respect and fame that Trump’s real estate or Bloomberg’s media business gave them. He nor his brand is well known and the brand he is known for, climate change doesn’t elect presidents.
Andrew Yang- Yang has some interesting ideas and brings a unique energy to the presidential race but NOBODY KNOWS HIM. It is impossible for him to be elected in 2020, he has concluded this himself and as of yesterday ended his campaign.
Pete Buttigieg- Buttigieg’s service to America as a soldier is greatly appreciated. His intellect is highly respected and admired. The problem that makes it IMPOSSIBLE for him to win the 2020 general election is not his young age of 38, it’s not the fact that the only political office he has held is Mayor of a city that has a population of less than 100,000. Buttigieg’s only problem is that he is a man ahead of his time, a Democratic primary voter may be ready but a general election America is not ready to elect in 2020 a man married to another man. It’s a fact that few will admit to Buttigieg or speak about publically but it is a fact nonetheless, the good news for Buttigieg is that America will definitely get there, and he is young enough to reap the benefit when America does get there but it won’t happen in 2020.
Deval Patrick- Patrick suffers the same obscurity that Tom Steyer, Andrew Yang, and Amy Klobuchar are experiencing, except Patrick has a successful 2 term governorship example and a lifted himself up from poverty and hardship story tailor made for American electorate consumption. Unfortunately, he entered the race much too late to familiarize himself to the voting public, though it is impossible for him to win the 2020 Democratic nomination much less the 2020 general election, depending on how he conducts his losing presidential campaign he is a potential V.P. pick for the eventual Democratic nominee.
The reason why Bloomberg POSSIBLY has a chance to beat Trump and Biden DEFINITELY has a chance to beat Trump are as follows:
Michael Bloomberg- Bloomberg’s number 1 reason he has the possibility of beating Trump in the general election is his unlimited amount of money to self-fund a campaign against Trump. Secondly, he has a successful track record, though not blemish free, of running America’s largest city. Sadly for him, it’s one of those blemishes, stop and frisk, that might make it impossible for him to win the 2020 Democratic primaries.
Joe Biden- Even though Biden has lost the first 2 of the 2020 Democratic primaries he remains Democrats best bet to defeat Donald Trump in a November general election. Biden can beat Trump because of the 2 components of the Biden formula.
1) He is a well-known brand that can attract the votes of white Americans that lie about their dislike for the divisive rhetoric of President Trump but secretly voted for him, he can attract white Americans who voted to disrupt and shake up the status quo but now feel uncomfortable with how far Trump has gone and want a familiar hand to right the ship, and he can also attract disenchanted white Republicans who stayed home and didn’t vote for Trump before and will stay home again before they vote for a Democrat that they feel is too liberal.
2) Since he was Barack Obama’s Vice President, he will attract the votes of the vast majority of all left leaning and moderate Independent voters as well as most registered Democratic voters.
If Democrats are serious about winning the White House and want to avoid the certain road to general election death that they appear to be on, they must make Joe Biden the winner of the 2020 Democratic primaries and deploy the Biden formula in the 2020 November general election.
Isaac Newton Farris Jr. is the nephew of Martin Luther King, Jr. and serves as Senior Fellow at the King Center. Growing up in one of the most socially and politically active families has given him a unique perspective on current events. Drop by his website for straight talk free of one-sided political spin.
Originally published at https://isaacnewtonfarris.com on February 12, 2020.